{"id":7330,"date":"2024-01-17T08:07:46","date_gmt":"2024-01-17T08:07:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/langleyesquire.com\/?p=7330"},"modified":"2024-02-01T12:10:00","modified_gmt":"2024-02-01T12:10:00","slug":"japanese-politics-updates-1-14-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/langleyesquire.com\/ja\/japanese-politics-updates-1-14-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Japanese Politics Updates &#8211; January 14, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"7330\" class=\"elementor elementor-7330\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9a17fc9 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"9a17fc9\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" href=\"https:\/\/youtube.com\/live\/rrErPkXpYXk\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e78af2e elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-video\" data-id=\"e78af2e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;youtube_url&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/youtube.com\\\/live\\\/rrErPkXpYXk&quot;,&quot;start&quot;:1,&quot;end&quot;:30,&quot;lazy_load&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;show_image_overlay&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;image_overlay&quot;:{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/langleyesquire.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/01\\\/japanese-politics-one-on-one.png&quot;,&quot;id&quot;:7843,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Japanese politics updates, Japanese Politics One-on-One #153 photo overlay&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;library&quot;},&quot;video_type&quot;:&quot;youtube&quot;,&quot;controls&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"video.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-wrapper elementor-open-inline\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-video\"><\/div>\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-custom-embed-image-overlay\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/langleyesquire.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/japanese-politics-one-on-one.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-custom-embed-play\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Play Video about Japanese politics updates, Japanese Politics One-on-One #153 photo overlay\" tabindex=\"0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-eicon-play\" viewbox=\"0 0 1000 1000\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M838 162C746 71 633 25 500 25 371 25 258 71 163 162 71 254 25 367 25 500 25 633 71 746 163 837 254 929 367 979 500 979 633 979 746 933 838 837 929 746 975 633 975 500 975 367 929 254 838 162M808 192C892 279 933 379 933 500 933 621 892 725 808 808 725 892 621 938 500 938 379 938 279 896 196 808 113 725 67 621 67 500 67 379 108 279 196 192 279 108 383 62 500 62 621 62 721 108 808 192M438 392V642L642 517 438 392Z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8d39240 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"8d39240\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-afaf379 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"afaf379\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Below is the synopsis of the weekly update on Japanese politics, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/youtube.com\/live\/rrErPkXpYXk\"><em>Japanese Politics One-on-One<\/em>\u201d, Episode #153<\/a> (45 minutes w\/ 70-minute Q&amp;A), courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/langleyesquire.com\/ja\/\">Langley Esquire<\/a>. Please like, comment, share.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-dfcb37a e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"dfcb37a\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4eeb835 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"4eeb835\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Political funds scandal evolves further<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c49bbea e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"c49bbea\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-72ca8fd elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"72ca8fd\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>First arrest related to the kickback scandal: prosecutors arrested Lower House Abe Faction member Yoshitaka Ikeda (57yo, 4x, Tokyo, former Vice Minister Education Ministry) last week just as we wrapped-up this briefing! In our previous update, I predicted 2 individuals but only one Diet Member was in fact arrested. They arrested his Policy Secretary, Kazuhiro Kakinuma (45yo), too. The Public Prosecutors explained their actions as being based on evidence that the Diet Member was observed actively moving documents and potential evidence from his Diet offices, residences and related areas. PM Kishida immediately acted on Monday to remove Ikeda from the LDP and so naturally, the Abe Faction membership diminished by one to 98 members. It had been 99+ for the last 18 months! While everyone has been on the edge of their chairs waiting for the Public Prosecutors to follow-through on other widely-identified violators\u2026 crickets. At the end of the week, in fact, recent Secretaries General of the Abe Faction (Tsuyoshi Takagi, Mirokazu Matsuno, Yasutoshi Nishimura) and the Nikai Faction (Katsuei Hirasawa) have received the most scrutiny. On Thursday, Prosecutors called Hakubun Shimomura and Nishimura in for a SECOND round of questioning.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2a741c5 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"2a741c5\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5b9e5fd elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"5b9e5fd\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Implications and expected political events<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6e9a0fc e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"6e9a0fc\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1993fe5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1993fe5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>Taking a barometer-reading on these developments will occur on April 28. This is when there will be a by-election to fill the vacant seat in Shimane Prefecture for deceased Speaker-of-the-House Hiroyuki Hosoda (78yo, 11x). Only one seat is currently up for grabs. However, if Ikeda resigns from the Diet (though kicked-out of the LDP), he can remain Diet Member until voted-out in an election, or voluntarily resigns). We anticipate several more seats becoming available (considering the tenor of the Public Prosecutor\u2019s investigational scope). However, the point here is this by-election will be the first electoral opportunity that reveals (better than public-opinion polls) how the public actually feels. If Shimane elects the (as yet unidentified) LDP candidate, then the implications drawn will be interpreted one way; if Ishin or CDP candidate wins instead, a different interpretation. While minor on one-level, within the village of Nagata-cho, this will be huge. We will be reporting on this in our future Japanese politics updates.\u00a0<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e32bab8 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"e32bab8\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ae6c2d5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ae6c2d5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>Also, as a point of interest and something frequently mis-understood: The arrest of Lower House Member Ikeda does NOT implicate the by-election of 4\/28. This is because there are two classifications of Lower House Members. The most prestigious are Members who are elected based on their own, personal personification: they run as The Candidate. There is another group who become elected because their name is on The List of each political party. The first name on the List is likely to be elected (because voters identify with a Party). So, in the voter-box, citizens can choose from \u00a0two ballots: one for The Candidate, and one for The Party (and The List is public). If your name is lower on the list, your likelihood of election diminishes. In Ikeda\u2019s case, he ran on the Party List. When a Member from The List dies, resigns, or is removed, the name just below this Member succeeds to the vacant position. Sorry for getting into the weeds, but this is an important distinction.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-584d947 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"584d947\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-43e23ba elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"43e23ba\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Diplomacy<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b4fc894 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"b4fc894\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9aa0f75 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"9aa0f75\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>Foreign Minister Yoko Kamikawa (69yo, 7x, Shizuoka, Kishida) visited D.C., Canada, five European nations (Poland, Finland, Sweden, the Netherlands, Germany) and Turkey this last week. This is a minor precursor to the State Visit of PM Kishida to Washington, D.C. in mid-March. This will be the first State Visit of the Japanese Prime Minister since PM Abe\u2019s visit in 2015. The timing here is critical to the PM.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b800dce e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"b800dce\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-23d10bc elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"23d10bc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">The ascend of Aso continues - political developments<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-edbfb34 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"edbfb34\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ebe4d61 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ebe4d61\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>LDP Vice President Taro Aso\u2019s (83yo, 14x, Fukuoka) ascendency continues, even though after Abe, he is no longer the Vice Prime Minister. Not only is his Faction the second largest (15% of all LDP Members vs Abe\u2019s 26%, Motegi\u2019s 14%, Kishida\u2019s 12%, Nikai\u2019s 11%, Moriyama\u2019s 2%, Independent\u2019s 21%), but he is also the third-leg of the leadership Kishida-Motegi-Aso\u2026 Missing prominently is an Abe representative. The fact that Kishida and Motegi famously do NOT get along, the pivotal-role of Aso places him in a highly advantageous position. For example, when Kishida removed all vestiges of the Abe Faction in the Cabinet two weeks ago, Aso Faction Members received 5(!) of the vacant Cabinet portfolios, while Kishida Faction Members received 3. Importantly, the position of Internal Affairs Minister (overseeing the police, internal affairs, etc.), (formerly an Abe Faction Member\u2019s position), went to an independent (non-Faction) LDP Member ushered in by former LDP Secretary General Akira Amari (73yo,13x, Kanto Block, Aso).<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-78590d2 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"78590d2\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c3c4d80 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"c3c4d80\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Demographic trends - marriage-less population<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2cd9644 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"2cd9644\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f5ebedb elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f5ebedb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>1% of unmarried adults in their 20s ~40s have \u201cnever been in a relationship with the opposite sex\u201d. Recruit Holdings released this research in their 7<sup>th<\/sup> annual report on the subject this week. Of those polled: \u00bc have no intention to marry, exceeding the 21.1% from 2021. Of the women who have no marriage intention, 19.4% said it was a waste of time &amp; money, while 23.7% of the men thought the same thing. Overall, 42.5% of the men avoided commitment due to the financial strain, while 40.5% of women identified their preference on freedom and independence. Still, 46.1% stated they \u201ceventually want to marry\u201d: this compares to 52.6% in 2021 and 55.6% in 2017. Obviously, policy imperatives abound.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e8d40d9 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"e8d40d9\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4797a68 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"4797a68\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Policy<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a28123b e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"a28123b\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1122349 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1122349\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>In a related development, an \u2018increase-the-population panel\u201d established by the Prime Minister issued their first Report to PM Kishida this week. They reported several assessments and made some recommendations. They acknowledge the fact\u2026 the reality\u2026 that the current population of 124 million people will decline to 80 million by 2100. Currently, 40% of the population are 65+yo. Historically, Japan was at 63 million people in 1930 with 4.3% of the population 65+yo. This panel is well-positioned to know, and to provide recommendations: Chaired by Nippon Steel\u2019s Honorary Chairman plus 28 highly distinguished leaders of business &amp; academia. They predict child-fertility rate (currently at 1.26 per woman) (2.0 being \u2018replacement-rate\u2019), to reach 1.6 by 2040, 1.8 by 2o50 and hopefully 2.07 by 2060 (which would stabilize the population at that level of ~80 million). They predict even with such a decline GDP annual growth should be ~0.9%. Clearly, this means in very short order that Japan will fall from the 3<sup>rd<\/sup> largest global economy precipitously. They observed critically that \u201c\u2026 GOJ and the Private Sector have failed to share sufficient public information about the gravity of rapid depopulation and the importance of preventing it\u2026\u201d. Further, \u201c\u2026 measures to date have been mostly one-offs and stopgap measures which did not turn around trends\u2026\u201d. PM Kishida reiterated his pledge to introduce \u201cunprecedented steps to head-off long term economic impact\u201d. He once again pronounced his intention to dedicate in the next three budgets \u00a53.6 trillion yen\/year to address this issue.\u00a0<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f16e1ea e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"f16e1ea\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fa74a22 elementor-widget elementor-widget-shortcode\" data-id=\"fa74a22\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"shortcode.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-shortcode\">                <div class=\"ml-embedded\" data-form=\"X4usxi\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-78b1b46 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"78b1b46\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h4 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><a href=\"https:\/\/langleyesquire.com\/ja\/privacy-policy\/\">Privacy Policy<\/a><\/h4>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-84d64f6 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"84d64f6\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-80e2a87 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"80e2a87\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Nikkei at 34-year high<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-61ce8c8 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"61ce8c8\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a955bd4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a955bd4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>The yen closed lower this week at $\/\u00a5 144.74 but the Nikkei rocketed to 35,000 points for 3 days-in-a-row! This was the highest in 34 years (since the bubble economy of 1990). Nikkei &amp; TOPIX were both up 25% in 2023, BOJ yields are down 2.5 points to 0.56%. This is again signaling the intention to keep money freely available to draw-down (hopefully) inflation to the 2.0% target (10 years evasive). Wage growth slowed to 0.2% in November while it was 1.5% in October. One explanation for the stock market growth is the beginning of the tax-free NISA accounts available to all citizens. NISA (Nippon Individual Savings Account) started in January.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-110524e e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"110524e\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c9b0936 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"c9b0936\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Cherry blossom forecast &amp; Sumo<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c2ab170 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"c2ab170\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5ae5682 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5ae5682\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>On Friday, the Japan Meteorological Agency issued the first official report of when, exactly, the cherry-blossoms will emerge: \u201cblooms will start in Tokyo on March 23, to peak on March 31\u201d. Last year on their first official report, they ended-up being 9.1 days long, as the blooms were exceedingly early if you remember. They issue regular updates, of course, as the data becomes more refined. Last year they issued 13 updates\u2026 but STILL were off by 2 days (long). Next update in 11 days.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-664f495 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"664f495\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-65d970e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"65d970e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>The 14-day Winter Grand Sumo starts today! Televised every day on NHK.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7534a4d e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"7534a4d\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1cb0a10 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"1cb0a10\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Questions poised during about the political and policy events in the Q&amp;A of Japanese Politics One-on-One #153<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9f162d1 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"9f162d1\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2ad8174 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"2ad8174\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>Taro Aso long supported Shinzo Abe for so many years. How much can he be expected to cleanse the scandal now, given that the Abe Faction is so heavily implicated?<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>Kono Taro seems to be very popular with the general public but not so with the politicians in the Diet. Can you place this in context, including Taro Aso\u2019s likelihood of returning to the PM position, and that of maybe former PM Suga?<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>Coming back to Taro Aso, he was in D.C. this last week. He represented not the PM or the LDP, but the Nakasone Peace Foundation and had several senior-level briefings of significance. However, he made several comments unrelated to the current situation or helping\/promoting PM Kishida, but more for seemingly self-promotion. What is your perception of his designs going forward?<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>Under the current circumstances, I am curious what Mr. Suga\u2019s plan seems to be. He is non-affiliated with a Faction, the only non-affiliated Member to become PM in post-war history. Does this enhance his likelihood for a return?<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>What is the update of the Unification Church? This has disappeared from the news\u2026 why? Because of the current kickback scandal? I seem to remember there were several unsettled issues at the close of the Extraordinary Session in December.<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>This thing with the Unification Church and Japan\u2019s declining population and declining rate of marriage&#8230; The Unification Church became famous for the mass-weddings, remember? Stadiums-full of people, some couples meeting for the first time, became married all at once. That was a significant way to at least get people into a marriage-relationship, and maybe consequentially also producing babies. However, is there something like this that the Prime Minister is considering? What is involved with his pledge to devote \u00a53.6 trillion\/year for three-years to deal with this issue?<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>Getting back to Taro Aso, surely, he knew about the kickback scheme, right? Don\u2019t you think his Faction participated in this scheme, too? I remember when this story broke, the criminal complaint named 5 of the 6 LDP factions. The heat seems to be solely on Abe Faction and Nikai Faction: noting on Kishida Faction, nothing on Aso Faction.<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>Moms should be given an allowance for working and keeping the household. In addition, they should receive more money for producing children, too. Too much is being pushed onto females in Japan without much benefit being shared with them.<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>I agree Japan is going to lose its #3 position in the world pretty quickly, but likewise other industrialized G-20 countries will similarly decline (precisely because their populations are also declining!).<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>You mentioned Taro Kono as an \u201cattractive candidate\u201d for Prime Minister. What do you mean by this\u2026 attractive to who\u2026. and why? I heard certain criticism lodged against him, so your observation is curious to me.<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>Sorry (because I did not read your synopsis last week) but you reported last week that the Public Prosecutors have to wrap-up their investigation BEFORE January 28<sup>th<\/sup>? Did I hear you right? Does that mean that Members of the Diet cannot be arrested during the 150-day Diet Session\u2026 even if they are drunk-driving or maybe even committing a murder? What is the extent of this immunity from prosecution. Can you please explain this again?<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>So besides having this limited immunity-from-prosecution, what other benefits are there to being a Member of the Diet?<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e289748 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"e289748\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-26be2a7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"26be2a7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><a href=\"https:\/\/langleyesquire.com\/ja\/insights-and-media\/\">More Insights &amp; Analysis<\/a><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0f03bdf e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"0f03bdf\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-91f5594 elementor-grid-4 elementor-posts--thumbnail-none elementor-grid-tablet-2 elementor-grid-mobile-1 elementor-card-shadow-yes elementor-posts__hover-gradient elementor-widget elementor-widget-posts\" data-id=\"91f5594\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;cards_columns&quot;:&quot;4&quot;,&quot;cards_columns_tablet&quot;:&quot;2&quot;,&quot;cards_columns_mobile&quot;:&quot;1&quot;,&quot;cards_row_gap&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:35,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;cards_row_gap_tablet&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;cards_row_gap_mobile&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]}}\" data-widget_type=\"posts.cards\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-posts-container elementor-posts elementor-posts--skin-cards elementor-grid\" role=\"list\">\n\t\t\t\t<article class=\"elementor-post elementor-grid-item post-716 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-tokyo-on-fire tag-constitutional-revision-japan tag-japan-constitution tag-japanese-government tag-japanese-political-system tag-japanese-politics tag-ldp tag-liberal-democratic-party-japan tag-political-system tag-politics-in-japan tag-prime-minister-abe tag-shinzo-abe\" role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__card\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__text\">\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-post__title\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/langleyesquire.com\/ja\/constitutional-revision-japan\/\" >\n\t\t\t\tConstitutional Revision in japan\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__read-more-wrapper\">\n\t\t\n\t\t<a class=\"elementor-post__read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/langleyesquire.com\/ja\/constitutional-revision-japan\/\" aria-label=\"Read more about Constitutional Revision in japan\" tabindex=\"-1\" >\n\t\t\tRead \u00bb\t\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__meta-data\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-post-date\">\n\t\t\t2018\u5e745\u670824\u65e5\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span 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aria-label=\"Read more about How to Not End Up Like Carlos Ghosn\" tabindex=\"-1\" >\n\t\t\tRead \u00bb\t\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__meta-data\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-post-date\">\n\t\t\t2019\u5e746\u67084\u65e5\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-post-avatar\">\n\t\t\t\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u306f\u307e\u3060\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/article>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>https:\/\/youtube.com\/live\/rrErPkXpYXk Below is the synopsis<\/p>","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":7843,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"disabled","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[255],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Japanese Politics Updates - January 14, 2024 - Langley Esquire Government Relations &amp; Public Affairs: Getting the impossible done in Japan<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Japanese politics updates, January 14, 2024: the latest news and developments in Japan&#039;s political world, business and civil society\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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